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Friday, June 2

Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Summary

The following is NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun’s reaction to this morning’s U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report for May: “Although job gains in May were on the soft side (138,000), the annual figure has been fairly consistent at over 2 million net new job creations. This implies that housing demand, which is more determined by long-term consistent prospects, still remains strong. But home sales may nonetheless not rise commensurately with job gains because of the ongoing lack of inventory. Home construction has to swing higher. The fact that the construction job growth rate is running roughly twice as fast as the overall job creations (2.8% versus 1.5%) indicates more inventory will steadily show up as we proceed through the year.” Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 138,000 in May, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 4.3 percent. Mortgage rates 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Rates for the Past 6 Months | Credio News from earlier this week

Thursday, June 1

ADP National Employment Report

Private-sector employment increased by 253,000 from April to May, on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Freddie Mac: 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Moves Lower

30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.94 percent with an average 0.5 point for the week ending June 1, 2017, down from last week when it averaged 3.95 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.66 percent. 15-year FRM this week averaged 3.19 percent with an average 0.5 point, the same as last week. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 2.92 percent. 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 3.11 percent this week with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 3.07 percent. A year ago at this time, the 5-year ARM averaged 2.88 percent.

Wednesday, May 31

Pending home sales once again hindered by inventory

Inventory is down 9.0 percent from a year ago, causing a constraint on buyer demand. April’s PHSI, which is based on contract signings, dipped to 109.8, a 1.3 percentage point drop from March’s downwardly revised 111.3. Northeast: PHSI declined 1.7 percent to 97.2 in April, 0.6 percent below a year ago. Midwest: PHSI declined 4.7 percent to 104.4 in April, 6.1 percent lower than April 2016. South: PHSI declined 2.7 percent to 125.9 in April, down 2.3 percent year over year. West: PHSI increased 5.8 percent in April to 100.0, 4.2 percent lower than the same time last year.

Existing home sales decrease to 5.50 million units in May, according to latest Ten-X Residential Real Estate Nowcast

Ten-X Residential Real Estate Nowcast indicates a slight decrease in May existing home sales. The nowcast projects May sales will hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) between 5.37 and 5.73 million with a targeted number of 5.50 million, down 1.2 percent from NAR’s reported April sales and down .54 percent from a year ago.

“Two consecutive months of weaker existing home sales isn’t cause for panic, but it does suggest that forecasts calling for a robust housing market may have been too optimistic,” said Rick Sharga. “It appears that the combination of extraordinarily low inventory and home price appreciation that continues to outpace wage growth is slowing down sales, especially in some of the country’s higher priced markets.”

Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

Mortgage applications decreased 3.4 percent from one week earlier. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 43.2 percent of total applications from 43.9 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity decreased to 7.7 percent of total applications. The FHA share of total applications decreased to 10.5 percent from 10.8 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications increased to 10.8 percent from 10.5 percent the week prior. The USDA share of total applications remained unchanged at 0.8 percent from the week prior. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances and with jumbo loan balances remained unchanged. The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 3.42 percent from 3.45 percent.

Tuesday, May 30

Seattle, Portland, Dallas and Denver Lead Gains in S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices

Home prices have continued to rise across the country in the last 12 months. March saw a 5.8 percent annual gain, which set a 33-month high. Seattle, Portland, and Dallas reported the highest year-over-year gains. Seattle led the way with a 12.3 percent year-over-year price increase, followed by Portland with 9.2 percent, and Dallas with an 8.6 percentincrease. Ten cities reported higher price increases in the year ending March 2017 than in the year ending February 2017.

“Home prices continue rising with the S&P Corelogic Case -Shiller National Index up 5.8 percent in the year ended March, the fastest pace in almost three years,” says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices.

Black Knight Home Price Index Report: U.S. Home Prices Hit Another New Peak, Rising 1.3 Percent for the Month, Up 5.8 Percent Year-Over-Year

Black Knight Home Price Index Report March 2017

The national Home Price Index (HPI) hit another peak in March 2017, continuing the upward trend and marking a 2.3 percent gain in home prices in 2017. San Francisco, Seattle, and San Jose, Calif., have seen metropolitan home prices rise by at least 5 percent since January 2017. Prices fell another 4.5 percent in Tuscaloosa, Ala., which marks a 17 percent decline year-to-date. The top 5 movers at the state level in March included: Washington (2.2 percent), Nebraska (1.9 percent), Michigan (1.7), Oregon (1.7 percent), and Georgia (1.7 percent). The top 5 movers at the metro level in March included: San Jose, Calif., (2.6 percent), Seattle, Wash., (2.4 percent), Bellingham, Wash., (2.3 percent), Walla Walla, Wash., (2.2 percent), and San Francisco, Calif., (2.2 percent).

Redfin Housing Demand Index Ticks Back Up as Prime Selling Season Commence

“The Redfin Housing Demand Index increased 9.2 percent from March to a seasonally adjusted level of 121 in April.”

The Index has been steadily decreasing from January to March, then picking up in April, showing strong variability in 2017. Buyers requesting tours was up 12.1 percent in April, compared to March, and buyers writing offers was up to 6.9 percent. “Across the 15 metros covered by the Demand Index, there were 13.1 percent fewer homes for sale than the previous March, marking the 23rd consecutive month of year-over-year inventory declines.”

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